Trump Always Chickens Out

I don’t want to sound judgmental. I’ve never been in your position.

One potential way to approach this would be to “bring the shelter staff on the juorney”.

• Tell them as soon as you confirm the job.
• Thank them for their support.
• Explain that you will be getting some equipment, and that you will need to connect it to Ethernet.
• Give them the great news, that you have organised housing for yourself, once that first paycheck comes in.
• Let them feel yes excitement, at the prospect of getting some momentum in your life.
• If they express concern, invite them to sit with you while you work, show them you are trustworthy.

This is a people problem, not a technical one. People that run shelters, especially volunteers, a good people. But they likely have been burned in the past; they will not blindly trust.

This is the way.

Getting a toddler to sit quietly for an extended period is hard. You are either listening to them, or entertaining them; a lot of parents, these days, use a smartphone for this.

“The bright side of genocide”

A little, but not too much.

Flat taxes annoy me more than proportional taxes.

Remember kids “see something, say something”

I have this version of Battleship.

It is crazy; that this seemed like a good idea to put on the box, at any point in the past.

😆

BMI is kinda like IQ, certainly useful, but it doesn’t tell the full story.

If it is high, you may be fat, if it is really low, you are definitely underweight.

Totally agree, no one is safe. But some are less safe than others.

But this is New Zealand, 5 eyes partner New Zealand…you have to fuck up; pretty bad; to get us to look sideways at the USA.

NZ has a exercise caution advisory for USA…

I personally have a “don’t risk it” advisory; especially if you are anything other than white.

Quite the opposite

For distance:

• learn to do a 1m pace
• measure your height to compare against other things
• measure the length of your finger gun (mines basically 150mm)

For temperature (for me):

• below 6 think about wind chill and keep warm
• 6-10 = warm jacket weather
• 10-14 = pants and sweatshirts
• 14-18 = great exercising weather
• 18-22 = shorts and t-shirts or light sweatshirt.
• 22-26 = very warm
• 26-30 = uncomfortable
• 30+ = sweating just walking around

For weight, it is too dependent on your strength. For some, lifting a 20kg sack of flour would be to much, for others grabbing two 40kg sacks of cement per trip to the palet is normal.

I don’t think the “/s” was required.

I know Poe’s law and all, but surely no-one could think that was serious.

I agree!

Accuracy and precision; when I used to shoot archery long ago; measure different things, accuracy is a measure of the spread of your shots, precision is a measure of how close to the middle your shots are.

It is not really weird, OP is arguing that the universe itself is deterministic. Taking a mechanistic approach to refuting that claim is perfectly valid.

There are a myriad of examples of physical processes that are chaotic, this invalidates OP’s claim.

To address the morality point, if God is the source of goodness and morality; beyond the question of “which God?” ; it means objective morality doesn’t exist, because God can change it’s mind about what is “good”.

But that is a discussion finds a different threat.

OK let’s just start with the assertion that there of a casual link back to the beginning of time.

We will begin with the big one first. We don’t even know if time had a beginning.

If we assume that time began at the instant of the big bang. There is no plausible link between my bean induced fart, and some random energy fluctuation, there are just too many chaotic interactions between then and now.

There are so many things we don’t know, making the extremely bold claim that free will doesn’t exist, is dangerously naive.

We can’t even solve Navier-Stokes; neuronal interaction is so far beyond what we are currently capable of, it’s ridiculous.

My recommendation to anyone contemplating this question. Assume free will exists; if you are wrong, it will made no difference; you were destined to believe that anyway.

The stock market is chaos, driven by bias and a bunch of unknown and unknowable variables.

A simple example with 3 players.

• P1 thinks stock A is a good buy (for whatever reason) at $1/unit. P1 decides to buy putting upward pressure on the price.
• P2 has been holding a bunch of A for a while and has a number ($1) in mind to sell at, P1 can’t know this information. This sale puts downward pressure on the price.
• If P1 & P2 have the same number of shares, the pressures are equal, and the price doesn’t move. If they don’t the price moves either up or down.
• P3 has been watching A, sees that it moves and decides that this is a good time to buy, (going down its a bargain, going up its on the rise get in early), putting further upward pressure on the stock.

Each action by the different players causes something to happen to the price, no-one can know all the internal thought patterns of all the other interested parties, and thus can never have perfect information. And even with perfect information, it may not be possible to predict, as some stocks interact in non-predictable ways.

e.g. Nvidia goes up, TSMC usually goes up, but not always. TSMC going down can be caused by Nvidia, but also thousands of other things also.

Conclusion: can the stock market be predicted? General trends - Yes, specific stock movements - No!

Don’t forget 1053